As an avid sports fan, I have always enjoyed being
involved in all things sports related. Having participated
in various team-based and individual sports throughout
my life, I of course enjoy watching a variety of different
sports, be it golf, tennis, or football. Sporting events often
bring people together and teach us the importance of
values and hard work. If we look at successful sports
teams or individuals, there are lots of similarities that can
be drawn between them and professional investors.
Over the Easter weekend, I took my son to watch the Liverpool vs. Manchester City game at Wembley Stadium, firstly as it would be fun, but also as an opportunity for him to learn from two top teams competing at the highest level. Sports and investing have lots in common: taking advantage of opportunities, learning to avoid or minimise mistakes and having the right mental tenacity, and these are what differentiates the average investment/sport managers from the great ones.
As the footballing season approaches its final stretch, it is interesting to see both teams fighting for the top prizes (both with very good chances). The recent successes of these two teams did not happen overnight, as they required patience and arguably two of the best managers in the world overseeing the project. Football managers offer an interesting analogy for the skills, temperament and challenges presented to investment managers.
A key attribute common to both fields is the ability to maintain conviction and discipline, particularly to one’s philosophy and process. An investment manager lacking discipline will be less consistent in their decision making and as a result would often have unpredictable returns over the long run. Similarly, take Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola’s footballing philosophy: it did not yield a trophy immediately, but he did not abandon it. Rather, he stayed disciplined and patient and of course has now been handsomely rewarded. Good football and investment managers with a strong long-term track record have the ability and confidence to maintain discipline in both good and challenging times. Staying focused is another important attribute as both are often faced with numerous ideas and opinions, but they require the ability to block out unnecessary noise when making key decisions.
Setting clear objectives is also important as this will dictate decisions when constructing portfolios or selecting eleven players, as it is not simply an exercise of picking the best individuals. Football managers select a combination of players that are best suited to achieve the objective – beating the opposition team up next. Similarly, an investment manager’s job is not simply picking the ‘best’ investments but constructing a portfolio combining the optimal selection of holdings to best achieve the desired outcome. Investment managers would need to choose a mix of asset classes and strategies to strike an appropriate balance between delivering on the return objectives whilst minimising risks. The optimal portfolio also requires constant monitoring and changes depending on market conditions, which is not dissimilar to football managers tweaking formation depending on the opposition.
Deciding on the optimal portfolio / starting team is just the beginning. Over the course of the season, players could underperform or suffer injuries which would require difficult decisions to be made. Similarly, over the course of an investment cycle it would be naïve for investment managers to expect today’s best ideas to remain so indefinitely. Our job is to adapt to prevailing market conditions and to tweak portfolios regularly to ensure an optimal blend of assets is in place. Lastly, to ensure portfolio holdings are the best in class, we are required to be constantly searching for new ideas, just as a football manager would look at the transfer market to ensure the team has the right players to achieve the desired objectives.
The challenges faced by top managers are non-trivial, so therefore it is vital that investors and fans remain patient and don’t get overly influenced by shorter term adversities. Successful, disciplined managers with a sound, seasoned process and strong long-term track record will often deliver on their objectives, so it would be unwise to bet against them.